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Triple Top

The Triple Top pattern is a strong bearish reversal signal in technical analysis, typically forming after a persistent uptrend. It occurs when the price tests a resistance level three times, creating three distinct peaks at similar levels before reversing downward. This pattern signals exhausted bullish momentum, increasing the likelihood of a downtrend and providing traders with an opportunity to consider sell or short positions.

Triple Top Pattern
Triple Top Pattern

How to Identify the Triple Top Pattern in Trading

The Triple Top is a bearish reversal formation. It forms when price tests the same resistance level three times but fails to break through, creating three peaks separated by two troughs. The setup confirms when price breaks below the neckline. Here’s how to spot it:

Start with the Big Picture

This pattern develops after a clear uptrend. Buyers repeatedly attempt to push higher, but each rally stalls at the same level, signaling weakening momentum and seller strength.

Trace the Three Peaks

The Triple Top unfolds in stages. Recognizing each step confirms the pattern.

  • First Top: Price rallies to a high, then pulls back.
  • First Trough: A dip forms the first low between peaks.
  • Second Top: Price rallies again, matching the prior high, then declines.
  • Second Trough: Another dip creates the second low.
  • Third Top: Price climbs once more but fails to break higher, then reverses down.

Zero in on the Neckline

The neckline connects the two troughs between the peaks. It is typically horizontal, though slight slopes can occur. This is the key support level to watch.

Watch the Breakdown

The bearish trigger comes when price closes below the neckline.

  • A decisive break under support or
  • A strong bearish candle

Both confirm the reversal and trigger the entry.

Check Volume for Additional Confirmation

Volume behavior adds confirmation.

  • High at the first top as buyers push strongly.
  • Fades through the second and third tops as momentum weakens.
  • Spikes on the neckline break, verifying the bearish reversal.
⚠️

Size It Up: Measure the distance from the tops to the neckline and project it downward from the break for a solid price target.

How to Trade the Triple Top Pattern (Trading Example)

To illustrate how the Triple Top pattern can be used to enter a trade, we will use the ETHUSDT pair on the 3-day chart. This example captures a large-scale bearish reversal pattern with clean structure and momentum confirmation.

Triple Top Pattern - ETHUSDT 3-Day Chart
Triple Top Pattern - ETHUSDT 3-Day Chart

Analysis

Between December 2023 and June 2025, ETHUSDT printed a clear Triple Top pattern on the 3-day timeframe. Price formed three distinct peaks, each near the $4,161 level, while failing to break higher. This repeated rejection indicated strong overhead resistance and rising bearish pressure.

Trade Setup

  • Entry: Entered on April 4, 2025, at $3,417.01, one candle after the third peak was confirmed. The short setup was supported by:

    • StochRSI falling, confirming a momentum shift
    • RSI at 53 and falling, losing bullish control
  • Exit: Exited at a prior 3-day horizontal support zone, which had acted as a strong resistance earlier. Final target was $1,549.58.

  • Outcome: The Triple Top played out cleanly, with price reversing from its third rejection and reaching deep structural support. The setup captured a significant trend rotation over the multi-week period.

Risk Management

  • Stop-Loss placement: The stop-loss was placed at $4,161.49, just above the third peak to invalidate the pattern in case of breakout.
  • Position sizing: Based on a 2% capital risk model, with stop-loss distance determining position size.
  • Volatility Consideration: Volatility had contracted before the pattern’s final top and expanded during the breakdown, validating momentum strength.
  • Risk-Reward Ratio: The trade achieved a 1:2.51 Risk-Reward Ratio, offering a high-quality reversal setup with multiple confirmation layers.
Benefits
StrengthTriple rejection = solid signal
PrecisionClear neckline break
Target EaseSimple downside projection
RobustnessWorks in all markets
ConfidenceVolume confirms intent
Drawbacks
Rare FormationLess common than doubles
False BreaksBreakouts can reverse
Time DragTakes longer to form
Volume RiskWeak volume weakens signal
Retest TrapsNeckline may hold
⚠️

Volume Kick: A sharp volume rise on the neckline break amps up the bearish conviction.

Pre-Trade Checklist

1
Start with context
Was there a strong and sustained uptrend before the triple top began forming?
Is the market showing signs of exhaustion or overextension before the pattern appears?
Is this forming on a higher timeframe (e.g., daily or weekly) for better reliability?
📌
Context matters - the pattern signals reversal only when the prior trend is mature.
2
Pattern Structure
Are all three peaks rejecting from a similar resistance level?
Is the support level (neckline) clearly defined by the lows between the peaks?
Does each successive top show weakening bullish momentum (e.g., shorter candles, wicks, or divergence)?
📌
Structure needs to be clean - avoid patterns with uneven or unclear peaks.
3
Volume Confirmation
Is volume decreasing with each top, showing fading demand?
Was there a volume spike on the neckline break, confirming selling pressure?
Was the neckline break on low volume, potentially indicating a weak signal?
📌
Volume should validate the story - buyers stepping back, sellers stepping in.
4
Retest and Breakdown
Did the price retest the neckline after breaking below it?
Did the retest fail, turning the neckline into resistance?
Was the retest on low volume, suggesting weak buyer interest?
📌
Retest failure confirms that control has shifted - sellers have taken over.
5
Add Confluence
Is RSI showing bearish divergence on the third top?
Did RSI break below 50 along with the neckline?
Is the neckline aligned with a key horizontal level, previous support, or fib zone?
📌
Stacking technical signals boosts confidence and filters out false breaks.
🔍

Triple Proof: Match the pattern with volume jumps and indicators like RSI to sidestep fakes and stack the deck.

Key Points

  • Peak Alignment: The tops don’t need perfection, but similar heights boost reliability.
  • Time Frame: Hits harder on daily or weekly charts than shorter ones.
  • Combine with Indicators: Pair with moving averages or RSI for extra juice.
  • Breakout Confirmation: The neckline break flips the script - don’t jump the gun.
  • Price Target: Measure from tops to neckline, project down from the break for your mark.
  • Risk Management: Place a stop-loss above the third top to limit damage if it flops.
⚠️

Wait It Out: Acting before the neckline break risks a fakeout - patience pays.

Conclusion

The Triple Top pattern is a heavyweight in spotting bearish reversals. It’s a clear, three-strike signal that works best with volume, RSI, and moving averages to back it up. Whether you’re in crypto, stocks, or forex, this pattern can be a game-changer. Stay sharp, manage your risk, and let the setup ripen - those three peaks might just pave your way to a killer trade.